Barrow 2-0 Gillingham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 5 Mar 2024

Barrow
2-0 HT 1-0
Gillingham
📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Barrow vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.75
X/1
13%
4.37
X/2
11%
6.35
X/X
20%
3.88
2/1
10%
31.5
2/2
10%
5.27
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.7pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barrow v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barrow EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gillingham EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.25/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.93
-11% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 65%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.0 Crosses 18.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6

Barrow vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barrow
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Gillingham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.31 xG 0.72
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
190 Passes 224
57% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.04.2023 Barrow Barrow 2-1 HT 1-0 Gillingham Gillingham İN2
22.10.2022 Gillingham Gillingham 1-1 HT 0-1 Barrow Barrow İN2

Barrow 2-0 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barrow
2-0
AWAY Gillingham
1.31 xG 0.19
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
222 Passes 406
68% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Barrow vs Gillingham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barrow beat Gillingham 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 34% / 27%) promised a tight game; Barrow found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barrow had 38% of the ball to Gillingham's 62%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.31 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Barrow had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Barrow and 1.00 for Gillingham.

What was the final score of Barrow vs Gillingham?

Barrow 2-0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barrow vs Gillingham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barrow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barrow 38%, draw 34%, Gillingham 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barrow), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Barrow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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