Carrarese vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carrarese v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Carrarese vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Carrarese
İTC
1-1
HT 0-1
Cesena
İTC
1-2
HT 1-0
Carrarese
İTC
6-0
HT 2-0
Carrarese
İTC
1-1
HT 1-0
Cesena
İTC
Carrarese 3-2 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Carrarese nicked a narrow win over Cesena 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (28% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Carrarese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Carrarese had 60% of the ball to Cesena's 40%, shots finished 15-7.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cesena led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carrarese and 2.20 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Carrarese vs Cesena?
Carrarese 3-2 Cesena in the Italy - Serie C on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carrarese vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated an Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 28%, draw 31%, Cesena 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.