Goytre United 2-3 Briton Ferry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.34
Draw
28%
4.62
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.5
No
34%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
24%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
15%
X/1
6%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+4.1pp
29%
Draw
18%
+10.2pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-14.3pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
66%
BTTS Yes
62%
+3.9pp
34%
BTTS No
38%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goytre United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Briton Ferry EU Bookmakers 70%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.34/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/1.27
+22% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goytre United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Briton Ferry
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
06.10.2023 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 3-2 HT 2-2 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
02.01.2023 Goytre United Goytre United 3-2 HT 0-1 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
27.12.2022 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 4-1 HT 2-1 Goytre United Goytre United GALFAW
01.04.2022 Goytre United Goytre United 3-1 HT 1-0 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry GALFAW
POST-MATCH Goytre United vs Briton Ferry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Briton Ferry nicked a narrow win over Goytre United 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Briton Ferry as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Goytre United and 2.50 for Briton Ferry.

What was the final score of Goytre United vs Briton Ferry?

Goytre United 2-3 Briton Ferry in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goytre United vs Briton Ferry?

Before kick-off our model rated an Briton Ferry win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Goytre United 20%, draw 29%, Briton Ferry 52%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Briton Ferry), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Briton Ferry) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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