Holywell 3-0 Buckley Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.18
Draw
30%
7.13
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.94
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.81
No
38%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
80%
-24.9pp
30%
Draw
11%
+18.8pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
51%
+11.0pp
38%
BTTS No
49%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holywell EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Buckley Town EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.57/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.62
-15% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -2%
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
479 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holywell
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Buckley Town
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
57% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
26.12.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
17.02.2023 Buckley Town Buckley Town 0-2 HT 0-2 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
29.08.2022 Holywell Holywell 2-1 HT 1-0 Buckley Town Buckley Town GALFAW
17.12.2021 Buckley Town Buckley Town 3-3 HT 1-0 Holywell Holywell GALFAW
POST-MATCH Holywell vs Buckley Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holywell swept aside Buckley Town 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Holywell as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Holywell had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Holywell and 1.25 for Buckley Town.

What was the final score of Holywell vs Buckley Town?

Holywell 3-0 Buckley Town in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holywell vs Buckley Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Holywell win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Holywell 55%, draw 30%, Buckley Town 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holywell), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holywell) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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