Prestatyn Town 1-1 Mold Alexandra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 5 Mar 2024

📅05/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.34
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
3.17
Over 2.5
61%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.39
No
50%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.2pp
19%
Draw
20%
-0.2pp
55%
Away Win
60%
-5.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
28%
+10.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
72%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.1pp
50%
BTTS No
32%
+18.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Prestatyn Town EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Mold Alexandra EU Bookmakers 64%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.74/2.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.50/1.00
-45% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +10%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Prestatyn Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Mold Alexandra
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31.12.2023 Mold Alexandra 3-0 HT 1-0 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town GALFAW
27.01.2023 Mold Alexandra 1-1 HT 1-1 Prestatyn Town Prestatyn Town GALFAW
POST-MATCH Prestatyn Town vs Mold Alexandra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Prestatyn Town and Mold Alexandra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mold Alexandra at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Mold Alexandra led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Prestatyn Town and 2.00 for Mold Alexandra.

What was the final score of Prestatyn Town vs Mold Alexandra?

Prestatyn Town 1-1 Mold Alexandra in the Wales - FAW Championship on 05/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Prestatyn Town vs Mold Alexandra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mold Alexandra win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Prestatyn Town 26%, draw 19%, Mold Alexandra 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mold Alexandra) ✗ Over 2.5
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