Fjölnir 2-3 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - League Cup, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.25
No
42%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
76%
-18.0pp
42%
BTTS No
24%
+18.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
349 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Grindavik
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 5-1 HT 1-1 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
01.05.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 2-3 HT 0-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
21.08.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 5-1 HT 2-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
15.06.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
18.08.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-3 HT 2-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
09.06.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fjölnir
2-3
AWAY Grindavik
64% Ball Possession 36%
8 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grindavik nicked a narrow win over Fjölnir 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fjölnir at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fjölnir had 64% of the ball to Grindavik's 36%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Fjölnir and 1.50 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Grindavik?

Fjölnir 2-3 Grindavik in the Iceland - League Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 48%, draw 22%, Grindavik 30%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fjölnir) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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