Fjölnir 5-1 Grindavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.72
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
23%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.63
Over 2.5
63%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+2.6pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.2pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
34%
+2.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
66%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Grindavik EU Bookmakers 27%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
3.29/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.79
+44% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fjölnir
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Grindavik
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.05.2024 Grindavik Grindavik 2-3 HT 0-2 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
21.08.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 5-1 HT 2-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
15.06.2023 Grindavik Grindavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
18.08.2022 Fjölnir Fjölnir 4-3 HT 2-2 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
09.06.2022 Grindavik Grindavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
28.07.2021 Fjölnir Fjölnir 2-1 HT 0-0 Grindavik Grindavik İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fjölnir
5-1
AWAY Grindavik
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fjölnir vs Grindavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fjölnir swept aside Grindavik 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fjölnir as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fjölnir had 58% of the ball to Grindavik's 42%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Fjölnir and 1.50 for Grindavik.

What was the final score of Fjölnir vs Grindavik?

Fjölnir 5-1 Grindavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fjölnir vs Grindavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fjölnir win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Fjölnir 57%, draw 20%, Grindavik 23%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fjölnir), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fjölnir) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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