Grotta 1-4 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
36%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.0pp
32%
Draw
24%
+8.0pp
36%
Away Win
45%
-9.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.8pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grotta EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.89/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/1.69
+18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grotta
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Afturelding
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
7 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
02.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 1-1 HT 0-1 Grotta Grotta İZL1
26.05.2023 Grotta Grotta 2-3 HT 1-3 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
25.02.2023 Grotta Grotta 1-1 HT 0-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
12.08.2022 Grotta Grotta 4-2 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
03.06.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 2-2 HT 1-0 Grotta Grotta İZL1
POST-MATCH Grotta vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding cruised past Grotta 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) promised a tight game; Afturelding found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Grotta and 1.67 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Grotta vs Afturelding?

Grotta 1-4 Afturelding in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grotta vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated an Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Grotta 32%, draw 32%, Afturelding 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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