IR Reykjavik 0-1 Keflavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
27%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.0pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.9pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Keflavik EU Bookmakers 38%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.03
+76% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +70%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
290 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IR Reykjavik
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Keflavik
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
03.05.2024 Keflavik Keflavik 1-2 HT 1-2 IR Reykjavik IR Reykjavik İZL1
POST-MATCH IR Reykjavik vs Keflavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik nicked a narrow win over IR Reykjavik 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was IR Reykjavik at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of IR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

IR Reykjavik 0-1 Keflavik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IR Reykjavik vs Keflavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a IR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split IR Reykjavik 44%, draw 26%, Keflavik 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IR Reykjavik) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İZL1 More Iceland - 1st Division
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