Vissel Kobe 2-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
4.62
6+ Goals
11%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.03
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
9%
18.1
X/1
21%
3.63
X/2
9%
11.1
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
6%
10.65
2/X
8%
20.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+7.8pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 19%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.34/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/2.04
+66% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +93%
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 72%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
29.9 Crosses 9.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vissel Kobe
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Gwangju
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
2.37 xG 0.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
246 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.11.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 2-0 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-0
AWAY Gwangju
1.17 xG 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
333 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe got the better of Gwangju 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 48% of the ball to Gwangju's 52%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.17 to 0.40.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Gwangju?

Vissel Kobe 2-0 Gwangju in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 53%, draw 28%, Gwangju 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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