Vissel Kobe 2-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.84
6+ Goals
9%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.5
X/1
20%
3.87
X/2
10%
8.32
X/X
19%
4.09
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
7.22
2/X
7%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.5pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 25%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +72% / +72%
3.05/2.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.85
+147% / -68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% /
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
406 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
33.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
33.0 Crosses 7.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vissel Kobe
2-0
AWAY Gwangju
2.37 xG 0.03
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 1
9 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 1
246 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vissel Kobe vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vissel Kobe got the better of Gwangju 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Vissel Kobe as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Vissel Kobe had 45% of the ball to Gwangju's 55%, shots finished 20-1, expected goals 2.37 to 0.03.

What was the final score of Vissel Kobe vs Gwangju?

Vissel Kobe 2-0 Gwangju in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vissel Kobe vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vissel Kobe 43%, draw 31%, Gwangju 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vissel Kobe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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