Johor DT 3-0 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.8
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
9%
4.61
X/2
12%
7.04
X/X
16%
4.78
2/1
6%
24.45
2/2
13%
5.06
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.2pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Johor DT EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 31%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.04/0.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.56
+84% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 82%
11.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
8.0 Crosses 20.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Johor DT
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
333 Passes 345
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2023 Johor DT Johor DT 2-1 HT 1-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai AŞMP
24.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-1 HT 3-0 Johor DT Johor DT AŞMP
30.04.2022 Johor DT Johor DT 2-1 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai AŞMP
18.04.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 0-1 Johor DT Johor DT AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Johor DT
3-0
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.26 xG 0.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
337 Passes 375
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Johor DT vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Johor DT ran out comfortable winners over Ulsan Hyundai 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Johor DT found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Johor DT had 47% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 53%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.26 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Johor DT had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Johor DT and 1.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Johor DT vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Johor DT 3-0 Ulsan Hyundai in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Johor DT vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Johor DT win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Johor DT 39%, draw 29%, Ulsan Hyundai 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Johor DT), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Johor DT) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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