Al Nassr 5-1 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
22%
5.28
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.59
Over 2.5
60%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
8.88
2-3 Goals
38%
2.42
4-5 Goals
28%
2.35
6+ Goals
14%
3.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
21.0
X/1
19%
3.85
X/2
9%
19.45
X/X
8%
10.3
2/1
8%
17.85
2/2
7%
12.2
2/X
8%
20.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
72%
-14.7pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.0pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
24%
+15.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
76%
-15.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.87/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/3.01
+0% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +103% / -14%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
444 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 76%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.3
20.0 Crosses 12.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nassr
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Ain
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.75 xG 0.99
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
365 Passes 285
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
11.03.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Ain Al Ain AŞMP
04.03.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
24.09.2020 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ain Al Ain AŞMP
18.02.2020 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
5-1
AWAY Al Ain
3.08 xG 0.45
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
443 Passes 302
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr swept aside Al Ain 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Al Nassr had 58% of the ball to Al Ain's 42%, shots finished 23-9, expected goals 3.08 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Nassr and 1.50 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Al Ain?

Al Nassr 5-1 Al Ain in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 58%, draw 22%, Al Ain 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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