Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Shanghai Shenhua — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.55
6+ Goals
9%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 33% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.85
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
11%
5.68
X/2
18%
5.39
X/X
10%
4.6
2/1
9%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.58
2/X
11%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
36%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.4pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua EU Bookmakers 40%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.13/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.78
-33% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
5.0 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
2-2
AWAY Shanghai Shenhua
1.90 xG 0.82
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 419
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Shanghai Shenhua
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners and Shanghai Shenhua shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 50% of the ball to Shanghai Shenhua's 50%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.90 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Shanghai Shenhua in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Shanghai Shenhua?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shanghai Shenhua win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 33%, draw 28%, Shanghai Shenhua 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shanghai Shenhua) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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