Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Shanghai Port — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFC Sampiyonlar League, 5 Nov 2024

📅05/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.87
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.25
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
13%
4.36
X/2
13%
8.88
X/X
9%
5.95
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.6
2/2
9%
5.98
2/X
8%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 12% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kawasaki Frontale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port EU Bookmakers 27%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
2.01/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.30
-36% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
30.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
23.0 Crosses 15.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Shanghai Port
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.92 xG 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
518 Passes 262
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
07.05.2019 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 2-2 HT 1-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port AŞMP
06.03.2019 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-0 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale AŞMP
04.04.2018 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port 1-1 HT 0-0 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale AŞMP
13.02.2018 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 0-1 HT 0-1 Shanghai Port Shanghai Port AŞMP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kawasaki Frontale
3-1
AWAY Shanghai Port
1.55 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 2
305 Passes 375
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kawasaki Frontale vs Shanghai Port
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kawasaki Frontale beat Shanghai Port 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kawasaki Frontale as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Kawasaki Frontale had 46% of the ball to Shanghai Port's 54%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.55 to 1.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Shanghai Port led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kawasaki Frontale and 1.25 for Shanghai Port.

What was the final score of Kawasaki Frontale vs Shanghai Port?

Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Shanghai Port in the AFC Sampiyonlar League on 05/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kawasaki Frontale vs Shanghai Port?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kawasaki Frontale win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Kawasaki Frontale 48%, draw 24%, Shanghai Port 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kawasaki Frontale) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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