Pyramids 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
16%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 33% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.2pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pyramids EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -10%
1.38/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.16
+16% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 205 · 68%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.9 Crosses 15.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pyramids
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.10 xG 1.85
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
22 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSRSK
15.05.2024 Pyramids Pyramids 2-1 HT 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
28.12.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 1-1 HT 0-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSRSK
03.11.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-0 HT 1-0 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
10.07.2023 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1 HT 1-1 Pyramids Pyramids MSR
29.01.2023 Pyramids Pyramids 2-2 HT 1-1 Ceramica Cleopatra Ceramica Cleopatra MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pyramids
2-1
AWAY Ceramica Cleopatra
1.30 xG 0.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
228 Passes 339
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 22
11 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pyramids vs Ceramica Cleopatra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pyramids nicked a narrow win over Ceramica Cleopatra 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pyramids as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pyramids had 42% of the ball to Ceramica Cleopatra's 58%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 1.30 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ceramica Cleopatra led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pyramids and 1.67 for Ceramica Cleopatra.

What was the final score of Pyramids vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Pyramids 2-1 Ceramica Cleopatra in the Egypt - Premier League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pyramids vs Ceramica Cleopatra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pyramids win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pyramids 50%, draw 26%, Ceramica Cleopatra 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pyramids) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pyramids) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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