Al Ahly 2-0 El Geish — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.95
Over 2.5
39%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.03
No
62%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
3.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 37% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
66%
-13.3pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.1pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+13.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-13.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.4pp
62%
BTTS No
55%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY El Geish EU Bookmakers 16%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.69/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.13
+17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.4 Crosses 14.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
4W-1D-1L
AWAY El Geish
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.74 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
436 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
01.07.2024 El Geish El Geish 0-4 HT 0-3 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
26.05.2023 El Geish El Geish 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
02.12.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-1 El Geish El Geish MSR
27.08.2022 El Geish El Geish 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
27.04.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 0-0 HT 0-0 El Geish El Geish MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-0
AWAY El Geish
2.57 xG 0.11
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
557 Passes 162
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
41 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahly vs El Geish
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly beat El Geish 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahly had 72% of the ball to El Geish's 28%, shots finished 27-7, expected goals 2.57 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahly and 0.33 for El Geish.

What was the final score of Al Ahly vs El Geish?

Al Ahly 2-0 El Geish in the Egypt - Premier League on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahly vs El Geish?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 53%, draw 27%, El Geish 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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