ND Primorje 1-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
15%
4.79
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.4pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +10%
0.71/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.93
-37% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ND Primorje
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Koper
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Koper Koper 3-4 HT 1-3 ND Primorje ND Primorje SLVN
03.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-2 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ND Primorje
1-1
AWAY Koper
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ND Primorje vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje and Koper shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Koper at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, ND Primorje had 46% of the ball to Koper's 54%, shots finished 7-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for ND Primorje and 2.50 for Koper.

What was the final score of ND Primorje vs Koper?

ND Primorje 1-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ND Primorje vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated an Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split ND Primorje 28%, draw 31%, Koper 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Koper), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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