Koper 3-4 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 30% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.89/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.67
-1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -37%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
1W-0D-0L
AWAY ND Primorje
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 1
03.08.2024 ND Primorje ND Primorje 0-2 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
3-4
AWAY ND Primorje
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Koper vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje nicked a narrow win over Koper 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Koper at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koper had 63% of the ball to ND Primorje's 37%, shots finished 13-12.

What was the final score of Koper vs ND Primorje?

Koper 3-4 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Koper 49%, draw 26%, ND Primorje 24%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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