Nafta 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
7.18
Draw
26%
4.62
Away
55%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.95
2-3 Goals
45%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.13
6+ Goals
8%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
11%
+7.7pp
26%
Draw
18%
+7.3pp
56%
Away Win
71%
-15.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nafta EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 75%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/0.91
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +3%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
241 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nafta
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-0 HT 1-0 Nafta Nafta SLVN
08.03.2023 Nafta Nafta 1-3 HT 0-3 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
28.04.2021 Nafta Nafta 0-1 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nafta
0-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
36% Ball Possession 64%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpija Ljubljana nicked a narrow win over Nafta 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpija Ljubljana as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Nafta had 36% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 64%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Nafta and 2.00 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Nafta 0-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nafta vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nafta 19%, draw 26%, Olimpija Ljubljana 56%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ BTTS No
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