Celje vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celje v Mura — Team-Based Signals
Celje vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Celje
SLVN
5-0
HT 2-0
Mura
SLVN
0-2
HT 0-1
Celje
SLVN
Celje 4-3 Mura — Actual Match Statistics
Celje squeezed past Mura 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Celje had 60% of the ball to Mura's 40%, shots finished 15-10.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Celje and 0.50 for Mura.
What was the final score of Celje vs Mura?
Celje 4-3 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celje vs Mura?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Celje 53%, draw 24%, Mura 23%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.