Domzale 3-1 Olimpija Ljubljana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+10.9pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.9pp
54%
Away Win
68%
-13.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Domzale EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana EU Bookmakers 72%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
0.84/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.77
-12% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +16%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
205 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Domzale
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.10.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 3-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
11.08.2024 Domzale Domzale 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
14.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-3 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
21.02.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 1-0 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
21.10.2023 Domzale Domzale 0-2 HT 0-0 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana SLVN
12.08.2023 Olimpija Ljubljana Olimpija Ljubljana 2-1 HT 1-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Domzale
3-1
AWAY Olimpija Ljubljana
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Domzale vs Olimpija Ljubljana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Domzale beat Olimpija Ljubljana 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Olimpija Ljubljana at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Domzale had 33% of the ball to Olimpija Ljubljana's 67%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Olimpija Ljubljana led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Domzale and 1.83 for Olimpija Ljubljana.

What was the final score of Domzale vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Domzale 3-1 Olimpija Ljubljana in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Domzale vs Olimpija Ljubljana?

Before kick-off our model rated an Olimpija Ljubljana win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Domzale 24%, draw 22%, Olimpija Ljubljana 54%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Olimpija Ljubljana) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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