Thun 2-2 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 5 Mar 2026

Thun
2 - 2 HT 0 - 1
St. Gallen
📅05/03/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Thun vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under
34%
2.51
Over Pick
66%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.4
No
36%
2.71
Total Goals
0-1
15%
5.38
2-3
43%
1.98
4-5
31%
2.55
6+
11%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.47
1/2
2%
29.0
1/X
5%
12.5
X/1
15%
4.99
X/2
9%
7.93
X/X
13%
6.14
2/1 ✗
4%
19.75
2/2
16%
5.03
2/X
5%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 4% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Thun v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Thun The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen The Market 31%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.05 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
1.14 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.47
Strong Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
32 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3

Thun vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
2W-0D-4L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.25 xG 1.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
251 Passes 246
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
13.12.2025 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
04.10.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 1-2 Thun Thun İSV
19.07.2020 Thun Thun 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
28.06.2020 St. Gallen St. Gallen 3-2 HT 3-0 Thun Thun İSV
08.12.2019 Thun Thun 1-4 HT 0-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
28.09.2019 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV

Thun 2-2 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
2 - 2
AWAY St. Gallen
2.57 xG 1.64
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
194 Passes 204
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
31 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Thun vs St. Gallen
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Thun and St. Gallen shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

A gentle 50% lean on Thun didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Thun had 50% of the ball to St. Gallen's 50%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.57 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Thun and 2.50 for St. Gallen.

Thun vs St. Gallen Result & Final Score

Thun 2 - 2 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Thun vs St. Gallen Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Thun 50%, draw 23%, St. Gallen 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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