Thun vs St. Gallen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Thun v St. Gallen — Team-Based Signals
Thun vs St. Gallen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
St. Gallen
İSV
3-2
HT 3-0
Thun
İSV
1-4
HT 0-2
St. Gallen
İSV
4-0
HT 2-0
Thun
İSV
1-5
HT 1-1
St. Gallen
HAZ
Thun 0-2 St. Gallen — Actual Match Statistics
St. Gallen saw off Thun 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Thun at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Thun had 58% of the ball to St. Gallen's 42%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.13 to 2.26.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Thun and 3.00 for St. Gallen.
What was the final score of Thun vs St. Gallen?
Thun 0-2 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Thun vs St. Gallen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Thun 51%, draw 24%, St. Gallen 25%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.