Zürich 2-2 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 13 Dec 2025

Zürich
2-2 HT 0-1
Winterthur
📅13/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Zürich vs Winterthur Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.57
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.33
Over 2.5
65%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.63
No
36%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
4.69
2-3 Goals
34%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
20%
7.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.0
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
6%
15.25
X/1
17%
4.28
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
7%
6.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
19.75
2/2
8%
7.77
2/X
6%
16.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.75 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
59%
+1.7pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.2pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
35%
Under 2.5
39%
-3.6pp
65%
Over 2.5
61%
+3.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
57%
+6.8pp
36%
BTTS No
43%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zürich v Winterthur — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.87/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.91
-21% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
20.6 Crosses 13.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Zürich vs Winterthur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Winterthur
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.29 xG 0.90
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
345 Passes 256
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.08.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
13.05.2025 Zürich Zürich 4-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
05.04.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.02.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
28.07.2024 Zürich Zürich 4-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.05.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV

Zürich 2-2 Winterthur — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
2-2
AWAY Winterthur
1.86 xG 1.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
275 Passes 175
68% Pass Accuracy 61%
48 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich and Winterthur couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zürich at 61% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Zürich had 59% of the ball to Winterthur's 41%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.86 to 1.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Zürich and 0.83 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Winterthur?

Zürich 2-2 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Zürich 61%, draw 19%, Winterthur 20%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zürich) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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