Winterthur 0-0 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.55
No
44%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
13%
8.06
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.98
1/2 EV+ ✗
13%
20.95
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
13%
8.64
X/2
12%
4.79
X/X
8%
5.81
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
19%
2.39
2/X
8%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.95 — our 13% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.7pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.6pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.06/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.08
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.9 Crosses 20.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zürich
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.88
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
279 Passes 351
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.02.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
28.07.2024 Zürich Zürich 4-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.05.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
03.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
28.02.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSVK
13.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
0-0
AWAY Zürich
0.52 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 5
193 Passes 283
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur and Zürich fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 43% of the ball to Zürich's 57%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.52 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Winterthur and 1.67 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Zürich?

Winterthur 0-0 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 33%, draw 23%, Zürich 44%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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