Winterthur 0-2 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 6 Feb 2025

Winterthur
0-2 HT 0-0
Zürich
📅06/02/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2024/2025

Winterthur vs Zürich Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
47%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.0
Over 2.5
56%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.27
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.14
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
13%
7.25
X/2
14%
4.81
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
23%
2.73
2/X
7%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
46%
+0.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.0pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Winterthur v Zürich — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 50%
-6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.09/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.02
-14% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
15.8 Crosses 19.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Winterthur vs Zürich Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Zürich
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.12 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
301 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
23 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Zürich Zürich 4-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.05.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
03.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
28.02.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSVK
13.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 2-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
07.10.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV

Winterthur 0-2 Zürich — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
0-2
AWAY Zürich
0.36 xG 2.08
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 12
224 Passes 457
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 24
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich got the better of Winterthur 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zürich as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 36% of the ball to Zürich's 64%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.36 to 2.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Winterthur and 1.83 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Zürich?

Winterthur 0-2 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 30%, draw 23%, Zürich 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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