Basel vs Luzern Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Basel v Luzern — Team-Based Signals
Basel vs Luzern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Basel
İSV
1-1
HT 0-0
Luzern
İSV
0-2
HT 0-0
Luzern
İSV
Basel 2-1 Luzern — Actual Match Statistics
Basel nicked a narrow win over Luzern 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Basel had 47% of the ball to Luzern's 53%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 2.62 to 1.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luzern led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Basel and 1.00 for Luzern.
What was the final score of Basel vs Luzern?
Basel 2-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Basel vs Luzern?
Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Basel 51%, draw 25%, Luzern 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.