Winterthur 1-3 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.32
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.71
1/2 EV+ ✗
14%
22.35
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
9%
7.11
X/2
14%
5.07
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
18%
2.79
2/X
7%
12.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.35 — our 14% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 49%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
1.06/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.97
-17% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +59%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 82%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.4
15.2 Crosses 19.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Zürich
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.98 xG 2.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
258 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.05.2025 Zürich Zürich 4-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
05.04.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.02.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
28.07.2024 Zürich Zürich 4-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.05.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
03.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-3
AWAY Zürich
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich got the better of Winterthur 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zürich as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Winterthur had 46% of the ball to Zürich's 54%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Winterthur and 2.17 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Zürich?

Winterthur 1-3 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 26%, draw 28%, Zürich 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zürich), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zürich) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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