Thun 1-1 Grasshoppers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.86
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.39
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.42
1/2
8%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.67
X/2
8%
8.11
X/X
8%
5.52
2/1
8%
21.0
2/2
7%
5.67
2/X
7%
13.7
Value flag · X/1 at 4.67 — our 24% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
50%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.1pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.66/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.78
-18% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.8 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Grasshoppers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.89 xG 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
274 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVK
31.05.2024 Thun Thun 1-2 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVP
26.05.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 1-1 HT 0-0 Thun Thun İSVP
18.09.2021 Thun Thun 1-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSVK
23.04.2021 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 3-1 HT 1-1 Thun Thun İSV2
12.02.2021 Thun Thun 0-2 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
1-1
AWAY Grasshoppers
1.69 xG 1.68
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
276 Passes 138
68% Pass Accuracy 53%
24 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Thun vs Grasshoppers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun and Grasshoppers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Thun carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Thun had 60% of the ball to Grasshoppers's 40%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.69 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grasshoppers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Thun and 1.67 for Grasshoppers.

What was the final score of Thun vs Grasshoppers?

Thun 1-1 Grasshoppers in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Grasshoppers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thun win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Thun 55%, draw 22%, Grasshoppers 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thun), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thun) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
30 Aug 2025
00:00 Winterthur vs Zürich Analysis →
21:30 Sion vs Basel Analysis →