Sion 0-1 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 30 Aug 2025

Sion
0-1 HT 0-1
Basel
📅30/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Sion vs Basel Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
50%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.15
Over 2.5
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.04
6+ Goals
14%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.79
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
21.95
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
8%
7.06
X/2
12%
4.92
X/X
12%
5.31
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
26%
2.75
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.95 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.3pp
50%
Away Win
45%
+4.3pp
40%
Under 2.5
43%
-2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
57%
+2.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.8pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sion v Basel — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.31/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.42
+26% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
277 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
17.6 Crosses 17.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sion vs Basel Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Basel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.01 xG 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
330 Passes 380
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.03.2025 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 2-0 Sion Sion İSV
26.01.2025 Basel Basel 4-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
04.12.2024 Basel Basel 2-2 HT 1-2 Sion Sion İSVK
31.08.2024 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
27.04.2023 Sion Sion 1-2 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSV
11.02.2023 Basel Basel 3-1 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV

Sion 0-1 Basel — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
0-1
AWAY Basel
0.60 xG 1.08
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
284 Passes 442
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sion vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel nicked a narrow win over Sion 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion had 41% of the ball to Basel's 59%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.60 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sion and 2.33 for Basel.

What was the final score of Sion vs Basel?

Sion 0-1 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Sion 27%, draw 24%, Basel 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
30 Aug 2025
00:00 Winterthur vs Zürich Analysis →
19:00 Thun vs Grasshoppers Analysis →