Zürich 4-1 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
26%
2.82
6+ Goals
12%
8.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+6.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.3pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.20/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.22
-6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.7
18.2 Crosses 17.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Winterthur
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.82 xG 0.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
21 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 277
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
06.02.2025 Winterthur Winterthur 0-2 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
28.07.2024 Zürich Zürich 4-2 HT 2-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
12.05.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
03.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
28.02.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
4-1
AWAY Winterthur
3.23 xG 1.85
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 7
398 Passes 161
83% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 21
29 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zürich ran out comfortable winners over Winterthur 4-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 26% / 39% — and on the day Zürich made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Zürich had 67% of the ball to Winterthur's 33%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 3.23 to 1.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zürich and 0.83 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Winterthur?

Zürich 4-1 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Winterthur win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zürich 35%, draw 26%, Winterthur 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Winterthur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Winterthur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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