Sion 1-1 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 27% vs market 19.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.3
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
13.5
X/1
19%
4.53
X/2
12%
9.11
X/X
15%
5.56
2/1
9%
21.75
2/2
9%
6.74
2/X
5%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +9%
1.46/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.51
-18% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
22.8 Crosses 15.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
0W-2D-4L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.41 xG 2.01
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
289 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2025 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
02.11.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
27.10.2024 Sion Sion 2-2 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
29.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 3-0 Sion Sion İSV
25.02.2023 Sion Sion 0-4 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
12.11.2022 Sion Sion 2-7 HT 1-5 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
1-1
AWAY St. Gallen
0.51 xG 1.95
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
303 Passes 507
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sion vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion and St. Gallen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sion at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sion had 40% of the ball to St. Gallen's 60%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.51 to 1.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sion and 3.17 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Sion vs St. Gallen?

Sion 1-1 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sion 47%, draw 27%, St. Gallen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İSV More Switzerland - Super League
13 May 2025
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