St. Gallen 1-0 Sion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
23%
3.04
6+ Goals
10%
9.11
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.42 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.34
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.6
X/1
12%
4.58
X/2
8%
8.78
X/X
14%
5.76
2/1
8%
21.2
2/2
14%
6.33
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sion EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -16%
1.80/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.59
+1% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.5 Crosses 18.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sion
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.86 xG 1.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
396 Passes 285
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
27.10.2024 Sion Sion 2-2 HT 2-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
29.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 3-0 Sion Sion İSV
25.02.2023 Sion Sion 0-4 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
12.11.2022 Sion Sion 2-7 HT 1-5 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
10.09.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 0-2 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
1-0
AWAY Sion
1.45 xG 0.68
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
322 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Sion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen squeezed past Sion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 52% of the ball to Sion's 48%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.45 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for St. Gallen and 1.17 for Sion.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Sion?

St. Gallen 1-0 Sion in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Sion?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 44%, draw 28%, Sion 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
21 Apr 2025
17:30 Servette vs Luzern Analysis →
17:30 Lausanne Sports vs Lugano Analysis →
17:30 Basel vs Yverdon Analysis →
17:30 Young Boys vs Zürich Analysis →