Young Boys 2-1 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.23
Over 2.5
59%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.67
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
13%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
16%
4.77
X/2
8%
8.32
X/X
8%
5.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.05
2/2
13%
5.76
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.5pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.6pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 29%
+16% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.02/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.44
+58% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
29.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.8 Crosses 16.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zürich
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.16
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
297 Passes 241
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2025 Zürich Zürich 2-3 HT 1-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSVK
02.11.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-0 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
04.08.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 2-2 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
05.05.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
03.03.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-0 HT 1-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
25.11.2023 Zürich Zürich 3-1 HT 2-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
2-1
AWAY Zürich
1.14 xG 1.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
20 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 11
248 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys nicked a narrow win over Zürich 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys had 47% of the ball to Zürich's 53%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 1.14 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Young Boys and 1.33 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Zürich?

Young Boys 2-1 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 52%, draw 20%, Zürich 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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