Basel 5-0 Yverdon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
6.22
2-3 Goals
40%
2.15
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
14%
5.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.73
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
16.35
X/1
18%
4.25
X/2
8%
13.45
X/X
9%
7.87
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
18.6
2/2
8%
9.72
2/X
5%
18.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.6 — our 8% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
64%
-7.4pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.7pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Yverdon EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +14%
2.01/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.68
+0% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 73%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.5 Crosses 11.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Yverdon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.64 xG 1.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 303
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
36 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 1-4 HT 0-2 Basel Basel İSV
25.08.2024 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
21.05.2024 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.02.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
05.11.2023 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.09.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 3-2 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
5-0
AWAY Yverdon
3.08 xG 0.41
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
304 Passes 264
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Basel vs Yverdon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel ran out comfortable winners over Yverdon 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Basel had 53% of the ball to Yverdon's 47%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.08 to 0.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Basel and 0.83 for Yverdon.

What was the final score of Basel vs Yverdon?

Basel 5-0 Yverdon in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Yverdon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Basel 57%, draw 22%, Yverdon 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
21 Apr 2025
17:30 Servette vs Luzern Analysis →
17:30 St. Gallen vs Sion Analysis →
17:30 Lausanne Sports vs Lugano Analysis →
17:30 Young Boys vs Zürich Analysis →