Servette 2-1 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.97
4-5 Goals
27%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.14
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.6
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
14%
4.98
X/2
13%
7.9
X/X
9%
5.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.4
2/2
10%
5.29
2/X
6%
13.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.4 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.95/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.49
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
30.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
24.3 Crosses 15.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Luzern
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.95 xG 1.16
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 Passes 293
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2024 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
21.07.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
17.03.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-2 Servette Servette İSV
29.10.2023 Servette Servette 4-2 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
24.09.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
29.05.2023 Luzern Luzern 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
2-1
AWAY Luzern
1.61 xG 1.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
245 Passes 380
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Servette vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette nicked a narrow win over Luzern 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Servette as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Servette had 40% of the ball to Luzern's 60%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.61 to 1.73.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Servette and 1.50 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Servette vs Luzern?

Servette 2-1 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Servette 46%, draw 25%, Luzern 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Servette), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Servette) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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