Servette 2-2 Luzern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 27% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.33
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
12%
4.48
X/2
10%
8.79
X/X
16%
5.39
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
15%
6.01
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.2pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+13.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-13.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Servette EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern EU Bookmakers 27%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.94/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.46
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
24.4 Crosses 16.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Servette
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Luzern
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.84 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
303 Passes 312
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Luzern Luzern 1-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
17.03.2024 Luzern Luzern 2-2 HT 1-2 Servette Servette İSV
29.10.2023 Servette Servette 4-2 HT 1-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
24.09.2023 Luzern Luzern 2-0 HT 2-0 Servette Servette İSV
29.05.2023 Luzern Luzern 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
12.03.2023 Servette Servette 0-3 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Servette
2-2
AWAY Luzern
2.52 xG 1.27
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
489 Passes 210
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
42 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Servette vs Luzern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette and Luzern shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Servette had 65% of the ball to Luzern's 35%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.52 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Servette had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Servette and 1.67 for Luzern.

What was the final score of Servette vs Luzern?

Servette 2-2 Luzern in the Switzerland - Super League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Servette vs Luzern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Servette win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Servette 40%, draw 29%, Luzern 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Servette) ✗ Under 2.5
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