Grasshoppers 1-1 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 31 Oct 2024

📅31/10/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.84
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
6.92
X/2
14%
4.79
X/X
11%
4.76
2/1
7%
33.5
2/2
17%
2.88
2/X
8%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+5.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grasshoppers EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.14/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.87
+17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
291 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.0 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grasshoppers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lugano
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.69 xG 1.36
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
231 Passes 485
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.07.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 0-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
13.04.2024 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 0-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
31.01.2024 Lugano Lugano 0-0 HT 0-0 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
22.10.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
29.04.2023 Lugano Lugano 5-1 HT 1-1 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers İSV
02.04.2023 Grasshoppers Grasshoppers 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grasshoppers
1-1
AWAY Lugano
0.85 xG 0.86
32% Ball Possession 68%
16 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
200 Passes 507
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Grasshoppers vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grasshoppers and Lugano couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Grasshoppers had 32% of the ball to Lugano's 68%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.85 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Grasshoppers and 1.67 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Grasshoppers vs Lugano?

Grasshoppers 1-1 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 31/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grasshoppers vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Grasshoppers 35%, draw 25%, Lugano 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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