Lausanne Sports 2-0 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 21 Apr 2025

📅21/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
22%
3.56
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 28% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.38
1/2
7%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
13%
5.39
X/2
14%
6.3
X/X
8%
4.76
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.3
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.47/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.43
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.6 Crosses 16.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lugano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.27
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
290 Passes 396
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2024 Lugano Lugano 1-4 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
18.09.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.04.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
04.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-4 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSVK
27.09.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
2-0
AWAY Lugano
1.14 xG 1.12
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
192 Passes 488
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports saw off Lugano 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lausanne Sports as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 32% of the ball to Lugano's 68%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.14 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lausanne Sports and 2.00 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs Lugano?

Lausanne Sports 2-0 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 21/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 42%, draw 24%, Lugano 34%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lausanne Sports), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ BTTS No
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