Lugano 1-4 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 26% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.18
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
9%
5.03
X/2
11%
6.43
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
17%
4.48
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.31/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.43
-6% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
16.4 Crosses 18.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugano
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.22 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
412 Passes 328
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
20.04.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 2-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
04.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-1 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.11.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-4 HT 0-2 Lugano Lugano İSVK
27.09.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-1 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
18.04.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 4-1 HT 2-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugano
1-4
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.33 xG 2.87
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
331 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 23
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lugano vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lausanne Sports swept aside Lugano 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lugano had 60% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 40%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.33 to 2.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lugano and 1.50 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Lugano vs Lausanne Sports?

Lugano 1-4 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugano vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lugano 42%, draw 24%, Lausanne Sports 34%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lugano), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSV More Switzerland - Super League
15 Dec 2024
16:15 Young Boys vs Servette Analysis →
18:30 Zürich vs St. Gallen Analysis →