Zürich 0-2 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.12
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.96
X/2
12%
6.5
X/X
10%
4.74
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.56
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.35/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.46
-9% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
17.2 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.86 xG 1.28
50% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
282 Passes 278
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-1 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
25.05.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
16.12.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
26.08.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
23.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
0-2
AWAY St. Gallen
1.03 xG 1.60
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
362 Passes 193
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zürich vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen saw off Zürich 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Zürich at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zürich had 61% of the ball to St. Gallen's 39%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.03 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zürich and 1.33 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Zürich vs St. Gallen?

Zürich 0-2 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Zürich 44%, draw 23%, St. Gallen 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zürich) ✗ BTTS Yes
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