St. Gallen 4-1 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.18
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
12%
5.21
X/2
10%
6.25
X/X
16%
4.99
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
18%
4.11
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +17%
1.65/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.18
+20% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.1 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Gallen
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Zürich
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.07 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
276 Passes 262
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 1-2 Zürich Zürich İSV
21.04.2024 Zürich Zürich 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
16.12.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-0 HT 1-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
26.08.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
23.04.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
02.04.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-2 HT 1-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Gallen
4-1
AWAY Zürich
2.27 xG 1.13
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
307 Passes 340
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Gallen vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen cruised past Zürich 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; St. Gallen found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, St. Gallen had 48% of the ball to Zürich's 52%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 2.27 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. Gallen and 1.00 for Zürich.

What was the final score of St. Gallen vs Zürich?

St. Gallen 4-1 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Gallen vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St. Gallen 36%, draw 29%, Zürich 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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