Young Boys 2-1 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 15 Dec 2024

📅15/12/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
12%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.04
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
9%
5.15
X/2
11%
6.75
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.7
2/2
16%
4.45
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.7 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Young Boys EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +1%
1.73/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.41
+28% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
25.1 Crosses 21.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Young Boys
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.51 xG 1.37
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.07.2024 Servette Servette 3-1 HT 2-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
20.05.2024 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-0 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
25.02.2024 Young Boys Young Boys 0-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
03.12.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 1-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
03.09.2023 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-1 Young Boys Young Boys İSV
22.04.2023 Young Boys Young Boys 6-1 HT 4-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Young Boys
2-1
AWAY Servette
2.08 xG 1.01
53% Ball Possession 47%
21 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
321 Passes 279
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
32 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Young Boys vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Young Boys squeezed past Servette 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Young Boys as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Young Boys had 53% of the ball to Servette's 47%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.08 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Young Boys had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Young Boys and 1.00 for Servette.

What was the final score of Young Boys vs Servette?

Young Boys 2-1 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 15/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Young Boys vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Young Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Young Boys 41%, draw 26%, Servette 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Young Boys), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Young Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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