Yverdon 1-4 Basel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
49%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.54
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
8.56
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
20.75
1/X
5%
16.7
X/1
7%
11.65
X/2
13%
3.84
X/X
11%
6.35
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.88
2/X
7%
16.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.75 — our 11% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+10.6pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
49%
Away Win
61%
-12.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel EU Bookmakers 66%
+37% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.17/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.92
+50% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +65% / +47%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
11.8 Crosses 19.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Basel
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.70
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
336 Passes 365
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 34
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
21.05.2024 Basel Basel 0-0 HT 0-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.02.2024 Yverdon Yverdon 0-2 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
05.11.2023 Basel Basel 2-1 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
24.09.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 3-2 HT 1-1 Basel Basel İSV
03.05.2006 Yverdon Yverdon 1-3 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
1-4
AWAY Basel
0.34 xG 1.39
27% Ball Possession 73%
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 10
173 Passes 620
69% Pass Accuracy 90%
9 Box Touches 42
3 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Basel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel ran out comfortable winners over Yverdon 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Yverdon had 27% of the ball to Basel's 73%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.34 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Yverdon and 1.83 for Basel.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Basel?

Yverdon 1-4 Basel in the Switzerland - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Basel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 28%, draw 23%, Basel 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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