Winterthur 1-0 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.92
6+ Goals
15%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.5
1/2
7%
21.15
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
9%
10.45
X/2
16%
4.06
X/X
10%
5.88
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.03
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.0pp
48%
Away Win
56%
-8.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Winterthur EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 61%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.02/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/0.94
-13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +147%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 84%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
14.7 Crosses 26.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Winterthur
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.47 xG 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
274 Passes 401
72% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
25.02.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-1 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
17.12.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
27.08.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-5 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
24.07.2020 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-2 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV2
21.02.2020 Winterthur Winterthur 0-4 HT 0-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Winterthur
1-0
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.13 xG 0.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
243 Passes 343
65% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Winterthur vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Winterthur nicked a narrow win over Lausanne Sports 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lausanne Sports at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Winterthur had 45% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 55%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.13 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Winterthur had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Winterthur and 1.67 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Winterthur vs Lausanne Sports?

Winterthur 1-0 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Winterthur vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Winterthur 26%, draw 26%, Lausanne Sports 48%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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