Sion 2-2 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.6
No
41%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.1
2-3 Goals
45%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.8
1/2
9%
31.5
1/X
9%
12.95
X/1
13%
4.81
X/2
9%
6.95
X/X
11%
5.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.67
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.6pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.20/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.46
-12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 70%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
24.6 Crosses 15.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Gallen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.32 xG 2.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
266 Passes 322
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.05.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 3-0 Sion Sion İSV
25.02.2023 Sion Sion 0-4 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
12.11.2022 Sion Sion 2-7 HT 1-5 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
10.09.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-2 HT 0-2 Sion Sion İSV
02.04.2022 Sion Sion 0-3 HT 0-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
06.03.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 1-1 HT 1-0 Sion Sion İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
2-2
AWAY St. Gallen
2.32 xG 0.66
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
266 Passes 597
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sion vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion and St. Gallen couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sion had 34% of the ball to St. Gallen's 66%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 2.32 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sion and 3.33 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Sion vs St. Gallen?

Sion 2-2 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sion 38%, draw 28%, St. Gallen 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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