Zürich 1-3 Servette — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.14
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
9%
5.13
X/X
16%
4.55
2/1
13%
31.0
2/2
20%
3.38
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zürich EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Servette EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.25/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.26
+9% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
16.6 Crosses 21.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zürich
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Servette
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
280 Passes 312
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Zürich Zürich 2-1 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
06.04.2024 Servette Servette 0-1 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
04.11.2023 Zürich Zürich 0-2 HT 0-1 Servette Servette İSV
29.07.2023 Servette Servette 2-2 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
26.04.2023 Servette Servette 4-0 HT 2-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
05.03.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-0 Servette Servette İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zürich
1-3
AWAY Servette
0.61 xG 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
325 Passes 251
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 25
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zürich vs Servette
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Servette saw off Zürich 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Servette found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zürich had 55% of the ball to Servette's 45%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 0.61 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zürich and 1.67 for Servette.

What was the final score of Zürich vs Servette?

Zürich 1-3 Servette in the Switzerland - Super League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zürich vs Servette?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zürich win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zürich 35%, draw 29%, Servette 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/29/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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