Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-1 Dobrudzha 1919 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+7.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dobrudzha 1919 EU Bookmakers 24%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.73/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.25/0.97
+13% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dobrudzha 1919
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
20.09.2025 Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrudzha 1919 2-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Sofia 1929
3-1
AWAY Dobrudzha 1919
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Dobrudzha 1919
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 saw off Dobrudzha 1919 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 had 65% of the ball to Dobrudzha 1919's 35%, shots finished 14-5.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Dobrudzha 1919?

Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 3-1 Dobrudzha 1919 in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 vs Dobrudzha 1919?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Sofia 1929 49%, draw 25%, Dobrudzha 1919 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Sofia 1929) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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