Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-5 CSKA 1948 Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 5 Mar 2026

📅05/03/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-0.7pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.4pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+3.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.88/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.80
-12% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +24%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0W-2D-4L
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 4-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
25.05.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
08.03.2025 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
19.09.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
21.04.2024 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-1 HT 0-0 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia BUL1
26.10.2023 CSKA 1948 Sofia CSKA 1948 Sofia 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0-5
AWAY CSKA 1948 Sofia
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA 1948 Sofia ran out comfortable winners over Lokomotiv Plovdiv 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 39% — and on the day CSKA 1948 Sofia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokomotiv Plovdiv had 45% of the ball to CSKA 1948 Sofia's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA 1948 Sofia led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lokomotiv Plovdiv and 1.83 for CSKA 1948 Sofia.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-5 CSKA 1948 Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 05/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA 1948 Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSKA 1948 Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Plovdiv 31%, draw 30%, CSKA 1948 Sofia 39%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSKA 1948 Sofia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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